this post was submitted on 29 Nov 2023
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Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

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[–] Zippy@lemmy.world 121 points 11 months ago (3 children)

Don't take it for granted. Hilary lost because of this. Get out and vote.

[–] YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world 54 points 11 months ago (3 children)

Hillary lost because she couldn't read the writing on the wall and told everyone she deserved to win because it was her time. She was the worst person on the planet to go against Trump. The GOP spent 30 years demonizing her and she played right into their hands. Biden should have been the candidate then but that is hindsight.

[–] shalafi@lemmy.world 22 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Biden had just lost his son and didn't want the job. He later said he regretted that decision.

[–] dhork@lemmy.world 24 points 11 months ago (1 children)

It's not just that, also remember that Biden had made a minor career out of losing the Democratic Presidential Nomination before Obama asked him to be VP. Much of the reason for that is that he had the tendency to say dumb shit. Remember all those "Gaffes"?

I don't think Biden could have ever become President before Trump, because we used to have higher standards for what was "Presidential". But once Trump became President, now all the dumb gaffes Biden makes are no longer a liability.

I admit I have been more impressed with Biden then I thought I would. I think a big issue is he is a much better President than he is a candidate for President.

[–] joenforcer@midwest.social 3 points 11 months ago (1 children)

All those "dumb gaffes" are because he has a stutter. It's actually way more impressive how well he's trained himself out of doing it constantly.

[–] dhork@lemmy.world 1 points 11 months ago

They're not all due to his stutter. He didn't stutter when he said this about Obama:

I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man.

[–] YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world 5 points 11 months ago

The entire nation regrets that decision.

[–] Ensign_Crab@lemmy.world 21 points 11 months ago (1 children)

She was the worst person on the planet to go against Trump.

She absolutely was. And with the pied piper strategy, she basically said who she thought the worst candidate was in the opposition's field, then lost to him.

[–] paddirn@lemmy.world 4 points 11 months ago

That year was probably when we would've gotten "peak" or near-peak Biden, but that was around the time when his other son Beau Biden had died, which I thought was the reason he sat out the Primaries, which might've made them a bit more interesting, but would've had the same effect of shutting Sanders out. The way I remembered it, Biden essentially saved the 2012 Obama campaign against Romney, as Obama had been having a shitty campaign and debate performance up until Biden went up against Paul Ryan and dominated. After that debate, things seemed to turn around and I thought he was a shoe-in for 2016.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 6 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

Moderates are really really motivated to only be just slightly better than Republicans.

They want to be as corporation/billionaire friendly as possible, so they get as many donations as possible.

It's why Hillary spent money, time, and effort boosting trump and Ben Carson in 2016. There wasn't much difference between her and Jeb Bush, so she didn't think she had a chance at beating him.

The obvious risk was Hillary was/is a horrible candidate and might not have even been able to win against them, which she wasn't.

It's like if the pitcher in a MLB game bet for his team to win, but by less than the spread. He still wants to win, but he keeps throwing softballs over the plate if he starts to win too much.

But that's just a game, this is literally playing with people's lives.

[–] chakan2@lemmy.world 2 points 11 months ago

But that’s just a game, this is literally playing with people’s lives.

Welcome to US politics.

[–] TheFonz@lemmy.world 0 points 11 months ago

really motivated to only be just slightly better

I could be wrong, but I think this impression comes because they are skewing more towards the mean or average, whereas on social media we are quite far left. So to us, they appear similar to republicans, because we as online users on Lemmy are quite far left. However, in reality Dems are quite left of Repubs.. just not left enough from our point of view because they appeal to the mean American. Am I making sense? I don't think I did a good job of explaining myself.