This isn't the bad thing it sounds like folks. He led Biden by 5 and Clinton by 8 points in the male vote, on average. Having a lead that could be wiped out by the margin of error is nothing. It shows Harris is an even bigger threat than Biden or Clinton were.
this post was submitted on 16 Aug 2024
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As a complete outsider, being a woman in a country where half the men are Trump supporters sounds fucking terrifying.
It’s also kinda terrifying as a dude, tbh.
Note: That in no way diminishes or detracts from any part of what you said.
Yeah, I think that's a very valid point that I didn't immediately give enough consideration.
As a man, I'm completely embarrassed by what I see out of his male supporters, and I'm baffled by his female supporters when Trump's own wife and daughter don't want anything to do with him.
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Surveyed < 2000 people and thats supposed to be a good voter sample of what country? Dominica?
They probably went and surveyed the Mar-a-lago neighbourhood.
2000 is really solid to achieve a reasonable margin of error. It's a pretty simple formula taught in any basic stats class.
Critically, that is assuming that the sampling is perfectly random sample of the thing being measured. Political polls in particular are going to struggle since participation is voluntary, motivations for poll participation differs than the both, different levels of anonymity, etc.
It's also far too small to be a reasonable example of voter opinion in a region as large as the US. If this was quantified with a region that the sample is from if might be better. But minimal sample size for making statements as broad as this just makes the stat garbage and exactly the sort of thing media should leave out of articles due to how biased a sample this small could be.