All of it, humanity will be wiped out in the Second Emu War, and birds don't need phones.
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I'm going to be bold. The internal combustion engine car.
There will be a tipping point where nobody wants to maintain the highly intricate manufacturing for them, and they will stop very quickly. Electric motors are the future and the transition is accelerating. We're currently around 20% of new sales and I expect after 60-70% ICEs will just disappear from sale.
we still see a lot of 20-40yr old cars around, many daily driven. if we suddenly stop making ice cars today, its still taking a while for them to truly go away in practical terms.
I have no idea but hopefully the 'Proprietary' branch of human technology is discontinued.
If things continue on the path they're already on, it will get worse, sadly. At least that's my opinion. I really hope it dies out.
If anything I think DVDs and Blu-rays are going to rise. All across the media landscape people seem to be getting annoyed with the "own nothing" society we're in. The thrift stores are full of thousands of DVDs for barely any cost. Last week I bought the Matrix 2 and 3 and Der Untergang in DVD for like 3 bucks. Way easier than figuring out in which streaming service to watch them and what OS and browser will let it play at HD resolution. Once "the youth" picks up on this like they did with CDs and digicams the DVD will be back.
Recently In bought a Blu-ray of Star Wars Andor because I love the series and want to support it, but Disney+ wouldn't play beyond 480p on my setup. My trusty old PS3 plays it like a dream and the resulting image is ridiculously sharp compared to streaming.
CDs, cassettes, and vinyl are already booming or in the rise again. And the streaming audio landscape is arguably way nicer than the streaming video lanschape. In photography there's also a wave of film and early digital camera hype.
I hope that the next 10 years brings the resurgence of the physical medium and ownership. And if not that, the resurgence of the high seas.
Apparently theres a rise in demand for "dumb TVs", to the point people are paying a premium...no sources, I read it on Lemmy.
I bought one last year and when I need to replace a TV, I will do it again.
They'll never come back because studios will never release new movies on them.
Piracy is coming back strong, but I don't personally see myself going back to burning DVDs instead of buying HDD/SSDs.
Windows for home consumers/home PCs hopefully.
Not disappear entirely, but most households won't own desktop computers or HDDs.
Most people connected to the Internet today have never owned a desktop computer nor an HDD. A crazy amount of people have been introduced to computing with smartphones.
As a homelabber, this makes me sad. Perhaps enshittification will push people back into home/local computing.
homelabbing isnt even my gripe with it. its not ever interacting with computers on your own terms, only on theirs. smartphones are a black box.
i see ads, artificial annoyances, and human right violations by technology increasing in lockstep with the reduction of our collective control over computing.
smartphones are a black box.
Many Android phones still have a bit of that tinkering ability to them (you kinda have access to the file system, and you can root them/flash custom android distros), but it's quickly diminishing because (1) OEMs are locking the bootloaders, (2) it's getting harder and harder to get hardware working without proprietary OEM hacks, (3) bank apps and other proprietary garbage that's becoming a necessity in modern times refuses to run on an unlocked phone.
I feel like DVDs/Blurays already disappeared 10 years ago and are now making a comeback. Same for CDs. Streaming services don't let you own anything, and if they pull something down, you're SOL. Self hosting Plex and ripping my own disks has given me a level of freedom not possible with netflix et. al. Especially since DVDs are considered garbage to most people now, you can set up your own streaming service for you and your friends and family for cheap. No piracy necessary.
Cash, at least in europe. In my opinion that decision would mark one of the most epic political fails in recent history but I fear, that's what's going to happen.
I just hope that something like GNU Taler (which keeps buyers' privacy and forces sellers to report their earnings properly) becomes the norm, as opposed to the proprietary plastic card transactions we have now. I myself am guilty of switching to that system because cash is just insanely inconvenient, but I also recognize it's pretty bad.
I don't know about DVDs, nearly 2 decades ago I thought optical media was dead and yet somehow it's still here.
Hopefully fax machines, but these things seem incapable of dying.
Fun? Fact, I'm in my mid twenties and have never used them.
Unless you're trying to use one. Then they're always broken.
I thought disks were dead 10 years ago
Discs**
Disks continue to be the most efficient way to store bonkers amounts of data.
Disks refers to magnetic storage or solid state flash storage.
Discs refers to optical media.
While optical is still king for physical distribution of media to the masses due to its low cost of production, the rise of streaming will certainly be the thing that rips physical ownership from the hands of the people.
Dont stop buying DVDs or Blurays
Sorry for the spelling
Well, I was born in 2000. When I was growing up, DVDs were everywhere. Almost all books that require supplimentary materials would include a DVD with it, we would buy all kinds of games in DVDs. DVD almost gave a feeling of storing the data physically somewhere, like you would include a DVD in a photo album that contains videos, photos were developed and put in albums and so were DVDs because you cannot really develop and watch videos.
DVDs were a part of our culture growing up and as much as I love DVDs, the times are changing and we need to change with it. We need to make peace with the current technology, whatever little it takes from us, it gives 10fold in return. A flash drive takes in that feeling of owning a DVD while providing 10x storage.
I see kids these days prefer sending files over google drive from one device to another near each other because they are too lazy to care about using wires. Funny how technological advancements have changed how people think.
I dont really believe streaming services have much to do with DVDs because people will find a way to download and listen to their favourite songs anyways.
I'd say consumer printers
We're running towards all digital, only a few edge cases will still require them
Most of my print jobs... maybe one a month, are for either artistic reasons or for making labels to stick on things.
I do still print tickets out of habit though, just in case I lose/forget my phone or drain the battery that day, though this has literally never happened.
self-inflicted, if they played nice we would all be printing from home.
upside is less paper waste
3G networks
I don't think we will be losing optical disks ever.
If burned properly they hold storage for a very long time without data loss. IIRC Facebook burns optical disks for old photographs and instead of having a hard drive array or tape library they had a RAID based optical disk system.
Optical disks are great, but not for the daily user since most media content is online and most storage is judged on being rewritable.
If burned properly they hold storage for a very long time without data loss
They also need very particular storage conditions (temperature and humidity in particular), otherwise they will discrot. But yeah they are likely to store data for longer than solid-state media at least.