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There's a very real chance he's not found to be ineligible, and runs. It sounds like in that scenario, he's slightly favored to win.
Trump's eligibility is going to be decided by a judicial system that he spent his previous term stacking. He's going to face zero repercussions if he is elected again, and then heads will start rolling for everyone who stood in his way.
If the Supreme Court finds him eligible then I’m pretty sure heads will roll before the election.
Its amazing how the right thinks its going to be so asymmetrical. Biden can just get of them all and DT in that case. I fucking dare them to open those floodgates
Even if true, I don't see the Supreme Court making him ineligible without a conviction, and I don't see them marking him an insurrectionist while the court case is still pending.
Doesn't require any of that. Read the 14th, his culpabillity is already an established fact (even at the lowest level, nobody disagrees that he is culpable and satisfies the criteria in 14th -> ineligible).
It's not an established fact until it goes through a court of law. The 14th was for Confederates who actively joined an organization against the federal government.
Trump took action from WITHIN the federal government. It's not the same thing at all. He never signed articles of Confederation against the government which was all the proof they needed back then.
The only person revoved from office under the 14th so far was adjudicated to have been an insurrectionist:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/judge-removes-local-official-engaging-jan-insurrection/story?id=89463597
Yeah, unfortunately there's zero chance they're going to make him ineligible. Certainly not in time for it to matter.
I wouldn't be anywhere near as worried if Biden weren't pulling this Palestine crap. Obviously people aren't going to change their vote over what's going here but voter apathy is a thing.
This is going to be yet another all hands on board election coming up, and some of that gerrymandering got worse.
I truly hope nothing there gets derailed.