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He's not barred until someone declares him barred. Who's to say that the GOP state leadership won't let him on the ballot anyway because fuck you that's why?
GOP isn't a lawmaking body. There are rules in various states about who can be on a ballot.
Yes, but who is tasked with enforcing those rules? Who, specifically, makes the call saying Trump can or cannot be on a ballot? In red states, the answer to those questions is "The Republican Party."
He only has to get knocked off in like, one state, for him to be non-viable.
No, he actually has to get knocked off in several
Colorado, for example, will not matter because they've voted blue for the last 2 decades. Michigan will matter because it's a swing state where Trump needs to win. But even if Michigan does kick him off the ballot, he could still easily get enough from the remainder of the swing states. He'd need at least 2-3 more swing states to not go his way before he'd become non-viable.
The point is that if he's convicted of a Federal crime, he by default can not be on the ballot in many states. Its big enough that it wont matter. Depending on how it all goes down, there is a very good chance he won't be on the ballot in GA. If that happens, he's also off the ballot in Louisiana.