this post was submitted on 28 Jan 2025
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Asklemmy
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You have to define 'we' and you also have to define 'WW3'.
Possible scenarios:
USA decides to get actively involved in Ukraine's conflict. Yes, that could spell WW3. Low probability, though, since Trump does not care about Ukraine.
Russia decides to attack Western Europe. Probably only a regional conflict, since Trump would probably pull out of NATO. This is the scenario a lot of European nations are gaming today.
China attacks Taiwan and/or North Korea attacks South Korea. Probably a regional conflict, but with a high probability of escalation. Trump would drop both South Korea and Taiwan at the drop of a hat.
Iran attacks Israel, probably through proxy. Regional conflict. This is already going on, so low risk of escalation.
Mmm if Iran and Israel really start to go at it, I could absolutely imagine Trump finding a way to use nukes on Iran. He wants to use the nukes.
Not saying any of these would cause WW3, but remeber that, depending on who you ask, WW2 started:
there is no single point of start for a war, just many actions of variable intensity that escalate