thanksforallthefish

Seems to be a typo there: former US allies rallied around Ukraine. Fascist America is no ally of mine.

Mate, I'd love to be wrong and lose the money. Maybe the Yanks will actually front up on all their "second amendment protects us from tyranny" but I doubt it.

Already have. The biggest delay was I dont normally bet so had to create an account

whatever. I don't know who kalshi are and I don't trust anything American. Betting agencies in my own country have it at a bit worse than evens. I trust paddypower or bet365 who have been around decades to pay out a lot more than some US tech bros. Ignoring the fact it's not a bet, it's an options contract.

And yes, you can keep circling around poking at it but I stand by the assertion that there won't be a fair election in 2026 because a) trump has been running line by line down the Hitler playbook and b) he said the quiet part out loud (after nov24 i wont need your votes) and c) musk's kid outright said the same thing too and 4year olds dont drop clangers like that unless someone has said it in front of him

Ping me in two years

Ok, but this isn't a betting site, this is an options contract, which given the current price split of 73c:28c is not a good buy (winning isn't profitable and you're tying your money up for 2years).

The price however is inline with my statement - that market considers a GOP win a near certainty.

I've checked the mainstream betting sites and GOP are solidly odds on (4/6 on through 8/13on) which isnt hugely profitable but I guess it'll shorten even further

Edit to add odds screencap

Oh they won't stop / block the elections initially they'll hold that first one & just conveniently get 75+% of the vote like every dictator before him.

I'm happy to put money on it if you can find a market. I've been unfortunately right too much, not because I'm smart but because you can literally pull out a history of Nazi rise and map it onto MAGA and the last 10 years. The only hard bit is guessing the timings, not what, just when.

I'd really like you guys to break out of this and prove me wrong

Thats an unusual definition. WRT has long meant "with regards to" or "with respect to"

https://www.oed.com/dictionary/wrt_prep?tl=true

https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/WRT

https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/with_regard_to

https://english-grammar-lessons.com/wrt-meaning/

I can't quickly find an authoritative source other than OED which is paywalled. But in short it's an abbreviation that dates back to the 50s

I disagree, there is no obvious successor which is deliberate on Putin's part, so the battle for succession will be at the very least distracting for the military leadership and quite likely to lead to actual conflict. If they're shooting each other they're not shooting Ukrainians

It's demographics. Linux contributors & maintainers skew heavily to the older end of the spectrum (and, although not relevant to this point, also skew heavily male).

People who can contribute time to a project for free tend to be older because they are financially and career settled by the time they hit 50s. Raising a family tends not to leave a lot of spare time.

That 10-year time horizon is a very good point. And it's not likely that the tariff would stick around that long since every four years has a changing administration who can do whatever they please in those regards.

Lol, you guys are hilarious. I keep seeing these comments.

Fascists don't allow fair elections.

The only way the magats are leaving office is mass insurrection / mass protests & strikes or revolution.

It most certainly won't happen at the ballot box

Yep