I would advise against any rolling distro if you use Nvidia drivers and CUDA. When I was using Tumbleweed it kept breaking with kernel updates. This was common in the forums. I had to pin my kernel to an older version to fix it. It was not ideal.
I've come full circle back to Debian stable. I'm sure at some point I'll need a newer package and be frustrated again. When the time comes, perhaps I'll try distrobox if I can't easily backport it.
Nothing the linked blog post suggests Microsoft was "blindsided". Where did the Axios article get that "one minute" bit from?