this post was submitted on 15 Feb 2024
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-25
Nearly half of voters think it's likely Biden will be replaced as nominee, a new poll shows (www.politico.com)
submitted 9 months ago by return2ozma@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world
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[–] homesweethomeMrL@lemmy.world 16 points 9 months ago (2 children)

the poll is from 908 people who answered thirty questions, by telephone.

If that doesn’t strike you as profoundly weird, it probably should. 908/161420000 = 0.00000562507743774

So 0.00005% of registered voters think Biden’s gonna drop out and Trump is super fit and healthy.

[–] JaymesRS 8 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

With a good poll design and a good representative sample you can get a 98% confidence interval (within ± 5%) for the US with as few as 550 people.

[–] kbal@kbin.melroy.org 7 points 9 months ago

tell us you don't understand mathematics without telling us you don't understand mathematics

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 9 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

Half of voters are morons. Biden won't "be replaced", he has to decide to step down on his own, and he won't...

Unless...

Unless Trump gets taken out of the race somehow, then Biden could go "My work here is done!"

[–] return2ozma@lemmy.world -1 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

Could be POTUS Harris and VP Newsom if Biden drops out.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 6 points 9 months ago (2 children)
[–] spider@lemmy.nz 4 points 9 months ago

also this:

Kamala Harris Fails to Explain Why She Didn't Prosecute Steven Mnuchin's Bank

(aka Steven "Foreclosure King" Mnuchin, who later became Trump's treasury secretary)

[–] return2ozma@lemmy.world -2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I agree but the Dems can't push her out or they will lose voters saying it's unfair.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 4 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Yup, '28 will be an open primary just like '16 was.

[–] Ensign_Crab@lemmy.world 2 points 9 months ago

So it will have a preordained winner.

[–] xmunk@sh.itjust.works 5 points 9 months ago (2 children)

It's probably too late at this point - the hope would be that an alternative candidate would gain legitimacy through the primary process... at this point if they swapped Biden out (without a really clear excuse like Biden having a stroke or other sudden health issues) it'd probably come across as the DNC kingmaking like they did with Hillary.

[–] spider@lemmy.nz 8 points 9 months ago (1 children)

it'd probably come across as the DNC kingmaking like they did with Hillary

...which is why they're in this mess in the first place.

[–] xmunk@sh.itjust.works 8 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Yup. The DNC is a fucking clown show and you'll never hear me say otherwise. The DNC gave us Trump - they shat on the popular candidate and splintered the party while Hillary's campaign actively tried to boost Trump because they were more afraid of Jeb.

In retrospect, out of Jeb, Hillary and Trump I'd prefer yet-another-president-bush though, of course, Sanders would be my favorite time-line.

Fuck the DNC so hard.

[–] Sanctus@lemmy.world 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

We could have had President Sanders.

I wrote him in over Hillary I was so mad. I'm sorry.

[–] xmunk@sh.itjust.works 1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I understand your anger - but if the DNC decides Biden is too old to run and puts Hillary on the ballot I'll still vote for her. Unfortunately America is a two party state and Trump being elected will get a lot of good people killed. His push to kill Roe has already murdered a lot of innocent women. I think we've all been there, but the time to act is the primary.

[–] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 5 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Because Hilary is a much better candidate…

Yeah, I hate that they might actually try that.

[–] AlligatorBlizzard@sh.itjust.works 1 points 9 months ago

Honestly, when the GOP rolled out the clown car of candidates that year, I wanted Jeb to be the Republican nominee. And I grew up in Florida with him as Governor. I would have picked Hillary over Jeb though.

[–] sin_free_for_00_days@sopuli.xyz 3 points 9 months ago

Most states have a deadline of March 1st for candidates to collect the requirements to be on the ballot. I think that ship sailed a long time ago. Probably trace back to at least when dumb ass Dems voted in '16.

[–] homesweethomeMrL@lemmy.world 3 points 9 months ago

Yeah, but. It’s a poll. So - make up whatever you want, polls are just about worthless. We keep looking at them because (a) 2016 taught us nothing and (b) there’s no replacement for what polls used to be.

[–] K1nsey6@lemmy.world 1 points 9 months ago

He will be replaced with another neoliberal POS. Different face, same policies.