Things are not looking good for Republicans next year.
this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
474 points (99.6% liked)
politics
19102 readers
3253 users here now
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
I know, right? These results from OH and VA are giving me some very cautious optimism, but not letting my guard down.
Oh yeah, we still need to fight like hell. But they're too entrenched to do a re-think at this point. Their base is too crazy. They've dug their hole and we have to make sure voters know what they want to do. When voters hear about it, they clearly don't like it.
I'm in suburban Philadelphia, normally a GOP stronghold that counterbalances the deep blue city, especially in municipal elections. Democrats are running the table for school boards and judges. It's very encouraging.
Last night shows me that the NYTime poll about Trump leading everywhere is wildly untrue
I would rather you look at that poll as being a message that those of us who are NOT insane, should not rest. We need to keep pushing for competent people in positions of power in our government.
That is going to take you, me, and everyone that wants the above to vote in every single election from now on.
It's because polling is still done over the phone. The only people I know who pick up unknown numbers are over 60.
We had all kinds of explanations for the polls in 2016, too. This is not over but it’s not going to be a walk in the park.
Most people are not paying attention if there isn’t an election in their state. When we get closer and they realize Trump and a GOP driven national abortion ban is on the menu, polls will hopefully change. Hopefully.
Careful to not conflate Trump's personal popularity and ability to get voters to the polls with other Republicans, even those blessed by Cheeto himself
I wonder how they are conducting those polls.
Most likely cold-calling/robo-calling. Nobody under the age of 45 answers random phone calls
I'm 44 and dont pick up strange numbers for the most part, so thank you for including me in your sample
Biden is, unfortunately, uniquely disliked compared to other Dems. He was buoyed by young voters, who are especially fickle and the most likely to stay home. I remain both worried and uncertain.
It’s seeming (according to data I’ve seen in recent articles) to be that midterms are becoming more favorable to dems due to higher education voter gap between parties. Low engagement voters are the voters who like trump, and they’re the ones that show up more general elections, than in mid terms currently.
So, I’m happy about last night, but I’m cautious to take it as a sign of what to expect next year.
As a Kentuckian, I'm very (pleasantly) surprised by this result. Sure, we've historically preferred a democratic governor, but I thought in the post Trump era that wouldn't matter. I was sure that the only reason Beshear beat Bevin in 2019 was because of all the shit Bevin pulled with teacher's pensions. Anyways, exciting stuff!
It honestly shocks me that KY keeps on electing R senators while putting in D governors. Is it a turnout thing?
I don't think so, the state leans red in everything else. In this same election, every other statewide election (including secretary of state and attorney general) went to the republican candidate by a ratio of like 60-40. I think Beshear's just popular.
MA has done the same shit, and they lean ever further to the left. I'm not entirely convinced it's a turnout thing, maybe more of a "balancing things out" kind of deal.
The party who won the KY Gov has won the next Presidential each of the last 5 elections.
Doesn't mean anything but kinda makes you go 👀
Yesterdays results across the board definitely have me doubting the recent Trump vs Biden polling numbers even more than I already did.
Republicans are in the "find out" phase
His star will continue to rise. Democrats have quite a bench assembling on the national stage.