Please remember to vote. Polls mean nothing.
this post was submitted on 22 Sep 2024
154 points (97.5% liked)
politics
19089 readers
3832 users here now
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
National polls doubly so. The electoral college strongly favors Republicans.
Ironic that the party who wails and moans about DEI practices gets artificially propped up by the EC and would absolutely get demolished without studious gerrymandering.
Those bitches will howl when Texas turns blue in 2 or 3 cycles.
Hopefully we are still allowed to vote when that time comes.
The EC is affirmative action for Republicans.
Do not be fooled. The GOP is not running a failing campaign, it's just that they are putting all their energy toward backdooring the whole democratic process itself. Their campaign is little more than a diversion for their coup.
Let's keep pushing further. If polls show a tight race push for a win. If polls show a decent win make it big. If polls show a big win, make it a blowout
Amen (and thanks for the links).
Here's more links (these might be on the earlier linked site)
Help write letters to voters in swing state / other competitive down ballot elections
If you are curious what the most effective volunteering method is, most data suggest it's canvasing (door knocking) but other things like text banking, phone banking, letter writing are still effective too
The simple answer to that is this: she’s incredibly likable
And
It doesn't hurt that she's running against the most offensive candidate since David Duke
Vote folks. Volunteer to help people who need rides to the polls to vote -- or make sure they know how to view absentee if your state allows it.
if anything, polls from AZ, NC, NV, PA, GA, MI and WI are more meaningful than national numbers
I’ve heard that Kamala needs roughly a 3.5% advantage nationwide to break even in the electoral college. It’s not a direct correlation of course, but it stands as a good indicator.
It’s insane if you think about it though, that we give the republicans 3.5% house odds. That’s more than we give casinos in blackjack. We don’t even give most one arm bandits that much.
I almost feel there is only one state: Pennsylvania. It seems like it's the lynchpin to victory.
Is anyone tracking Harris’ polling against Clinton’s from the same time 8 years ago?
Some important differences:
-
Fewer undecideds in polling than 2016. Makes the margins more significant. Harris is starting to see some state polling putting her at 50% or above which is encouraging. Hillary virtually never saw polls like that
-
Hillary was basically always at net negative popularity/approval. Harris has now gotten to net neutral or slightly positive
Election could still go either way but there are some differences
She’s got a big national lead!
They said. They were very, very wrong somehow.
The news source of this post could not be identified. Please check the source yourself. Media Bias Fact Check | bot support