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I'm a little more shaky on the first time. Someone else was actually killed, it seemed like a serious fuck-up on local law enforcement and SS's part, it's just too messy.
This time though? Where they caught the guy before he got a shot off? And the only person who will face any consequences is the gunman? I just find it so hard to believe, because Donald Trump is exactly the kind of piece of shit who would stage an attempt on his life for the ratings.
I would agree that having someone else killed would be too far for it to be staged for most people. That said, I have seen no evidence that makes me think the GOP considers anyone who isn't a billionaire or one of their mouthpieces a person.
To them, a random person in the crowd getting killed would just be a data point in their news story. Then just pack on a blood pack, and a fake bandage to sell it like wrestlemania 23.
From what we know about him, the gunman's a complete megalomaniac, so I'd like to offer my kounterconspiracietheory: Gunman sees the Roberts leak and did this to get Trump elected Charles Guiteau–style, wailing his arms about at the secret service so he wouldn't have to wear an overstanched earpatch for yet another morbid month.