this post was submitted on 29 Aug 2024
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[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 8 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (3 children)

It's so nice to see Kamala Harris popularity rising, but is it just me? Or can everybody else not see Trump popularity on 538?

Trump: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/
No graph nada ???% vs ???%
Latest numbers in the table below are from January!!!???
I find it hard to believe these numbers are not available from anywhere since January.

Harris: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/kamala-harris/
Graph up to date ending Aug. 28 - 48.4% dis vs 42.5% Approve
Latest numbers in the table are all from August.

Biden: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/joe-biden/
Graph up to date ending Aug. 28 - 54.2% dis vs 39.9% Approve
Latest numbers in table are all from August.

I tried a different browser and I tried for a couple of days. The graph for Trump never shows?
Seems a bit suspect IMO, are they obscuring bad Trump numbers?

Edit:
They do have a somewhat similar "favorability" number that's comparable:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
Trump is disfavored by almost 10% !!!!

[–] cybervseas@lemmy.world 15 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I think they only look at approval ratings when someone is in office. In face those old approval rating polls for Trump probably are actually from January 2021.

For this election cycle you want to look at the favorability ratings for the two candidates instead.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 4 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Ah OK that explains it.
Thank You. 👍

Still they do have a similar number that's comparable, it's just called favorability instead of approval? https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/

Funny how many disapproved of Trump, but now favor him anyway?

[–] cybervseas@lemmy.world 4 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

It's a different question. Something like "How do you approve of Donald Trump's job as president?" instead of "How favorably do you view Donald Trump?" Exactly what question you ask, and how you ask it, can make a big difference on how people answer.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 2 points 3 weeks ago

Yes, good point.

[–] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 3 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

"Approval" means "job approval". It only applies to incumbents, because it asks "Is X doing a good job in office?". Your last chance to disapprove of Trump was January 2021.

"Favorability" applies to everyone, it asks "Do you like X?"