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Take a look at the Governor, AG, and Secretary of State. Arizona is blue. To the eternal dismay of the state legislature that's still got a gerrymandered GOP hangover.
Yeah, but by 15 points?
Yeah. There's more to it, with those two in particular. Kari Lake made a giant ass of herself in the gubernatorial election a couple years ago and then made national headlines dragging it out, lying in hilarious ways the entire time. She was a TV anchor before trying to be governor. Ruben Gallegos is a combat veteran and time tested politician from Arizona's most populous county.
Yes. I know, but 15 points is quite a gap at this stage. IMO, it indicates there is a particular part of the electorate that dislike Lake and will vote against her. In other words, she pissed someone off (if that's a real number)
That's what I'm trying to tell you. She very much did. People did not like her election denialism. Katie Hobbs won the governor's seat in large part because she defended the voting system from Trump in 2020 and because Kari Lake was the local face of Trump's efforts to overturn the election. Now she has that anchor around her neck and her support of the 1864 abortion ban. She's pissed a lot of people off and I wouldn't be surprised if the more moderate Republicans just aren't going to vote at all.