this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2024
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I think he will, but there might be a real primary challenge.

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[โ€“] circuitfarmer@lemmy.sdf.org 44 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Tbh, I hope so. I think the chances of his winning decline with every cycle that is a loss. But, his ability to split a vote is retained to some extent. So:

  • if he runs as the GOP candidate again, he's more likely to lose. If the GOP is split about it, he's more likely to have a split vote due to another conservative candidate opting into the race on a third ticket (this may not happen, in which case, he's just less likely to win anyway due to previous losses, increased age, etc).

  • if he isn't the GOP candidate but still runs, he's extremely unlikely to win but could be a crazy vote split.

I think any sane person would not run again. Trump might, though.

[โ€“] desentizised@lemm.ee 12 points 3 months ago

Thing is, the RNC is cleptocratically his now and will be for a while. Other than that I'd hope for similar things as most people are commenting here. It will be bonkers either way until he stops breathing and then some.