this post was submitted on 19 Mar 2024
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he's one of the three drivers I expect to replace Hamilton at Mercedes. (The other two being Alonso and Vettel).
Vettel? I don't think he's coming back.
Lewis at Ferrari vs Vettel at Mercedes would be funny though.
Given that Alonso is allegedly blocked by Daimler and Vettel is done with F1, I believe what they wanted to say is at they don't expect these drivers to replace Hamilton.
Alonso is teetering to retirement. Seb is retired. I agree that Merc would pickup Bottas, it just makes sense. But, I think they're going to hold out for a while to see what comes up.
What sense? He was a good #2 when Mercedes was dominating, but today they aren't. Mercedes needs someone who can perform, and Bottas can't even outperform Zhou, who isn't in this sport on merit.
Bottas knows the team and can hit the ground running at Merc. That's why it makes sense. Merc can still have Russell as their #1 with Bottas collecting points
They are not in a position to just collect some points because they aren't dominant anymore. Each point counts. See the last year: Mercedes 409, Ferrari 406. 3 points decided who got the second place. Bottas is not up for the job judging by his performance at Sauber. I doubt he has any future in F1. As of the familiarity with the team, any professional driver (i.e. any driver) will quickly adapt. That's not a decisive factor.
I've watched a lot of F1 in my time and I know you can't keep a top team, especially one that builds its own engine, down for long. Good teams will always return to the front. I would expect no less from Merc. Points are most important. Having both drivers consistently in the points is what wins the WCC