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West is going to need to get on the ballot in more states than just Alaska and Oregon if that's going to happen. LOL.
In the end, it will be West at 1 to 2% of the vote and Stein at 5 to 6% of the vote, same as usual for fringe candidates.
can't talk down passing that 5% threshold. it's a big deal
It's insignificant in a national election.
you might think it's insignificant, but the people round here have their hair on fire at the suggestion anyone but biden gets 100% of the vote
Nobody will ever get 100% of the vote, last time it was 51.3% Biden, 46.8% Trump, 1.9% "Other".
I could see Biden picking up a few points thanks to the Roe V. Wade issue. They need to hang that around Trump's neck like a fucking albatross.
But the question is, can Biden win in the RIGHT states? That's still up in the air. Winning the popular vote is meaningless.
Pennsylvania - Trump is up +2 to +5 depending on other candidates.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/
Michigan - Trump +4 to +5.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/
Wisconsin - Trump +2 to +4.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/
Biden cannot win without Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
it's the threshold to get federal funding and access to the debates. it's a really big deal.
Yeah, and how well did that work out for Jill Stein after 2016?
Pro-tip - it did nothing.
The debates are controlled jointly by the DNC and the RNC. They aren't going to allow contrary opinions.
The only way this changes is if the Debates are taken away from the parties and turned back over to an independent organization like it used to be before 1988.
Even then, the League was only in charge from 1976 to 1987. Prior to their involvement there had not been a debate since Nixon/Kennedy in 1960(!)
https://www.lwv.org/league-women-voters-and-candidate-debates-changing-relationship
The reason being, primarily, that anyone watching television saw Nixon as being a sweaty weasel who lost the debate, but anyone listening to radio assumed Nixon was a strong arguer who won the debate.
https://www.cla.purdue.edu/academic/history/debate/kennedynixon/kennedynixonscholarly.html
pro-tip, if you don't know something, you can just not-speak about it.
seems like you don't know how a party qualifies for federal elections funding.
I've only been actively engaged in politics since 1988... psssh, yeah, what do I know?
she hasn't gotten it before. this is the year
LOL Keep telling yourself that... Think this will be the year of the Linux desktop too? ;)
yea. she says she's on track to hit the mark this year.