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A few factors:
Carroll's attorney Robbie Kaplan made it a point to strategically and repeatedly use Trump's claims of being a multi-billionaire against him, including in his opening statement where he asked the jury to return punitive damages that would be sure to stop further defamation based on his self-attested net worth.
After seeing the amount that the jury returned in the Ruby and Shay Moss case against Rudy Giuliani I think that it is reasonable to expect this jury to weigh that in their deliberations, and return a similar or even greater amount in this case due to the actual finding of rape.
Everybody wants to be king for a day, and jury's historically punish the fuck out of their peers when they feel they are being disrespectful towards the victim, the court, or the jury itself. In this case I would expect them to throw the book at Trump to make a statement about the power of the jury system in the United States.
I am confident in saying that the award for punitive damages in this case will be far greater than most are expecting. I wouldn't be surprised if it was even more than $150 million. You can come back here and tell me I'm a moron if I got this totally wrong, but I don't think I do.
Considering Alex Jones' judgment was $1 billion (not that he's even pretended to pay any of it), I think caps are off the table.
I'll put the under-over at 250M
Not even counting that he's acting like a spoiled cunt during the proceedings, in full display to the jury
So more like $400M