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I bet Covid got you a lot of fun data to play with re: "supply line collapse".
I've always been interested in work like this--I took a class that covered lean manufacturing and kept thinking about how "just in time" inventory seemed like it'd be awful for a hospital, as the hospital would be MOST needed if supply lines collapsed, and JIT stuff seemed a dumb move. But I was only spitballing on the surface as an outsider.
What if I tell you that even most ambulance services work with JIT?
And mass casualty events are generally centred around population centres. If a train hits that bus in bumfuck, it's six hours before triage and transport
Yeah, thankfully in central Europe our "bumfuck nowhere" still means that some infrastructure is reachable within 120min usually - and as long as the weather permits we throw dozens of helicopters at it.
Personally I am far more afraid of other scenarios therefore.