this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2025
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I think we can expect Iran to just keep on fighting back, but who I'm REALLY looking at now is Pakistan. They said that if anyone attacked Iran besides Israel, they would enter the war on the side of Iran. Even if America's participation in the war stopped here (not fucking likely) if Pakistan follows through with their threat then this escalation really, honest to God, could be the start of WW3.
Because here's the thing: India has been trying to goad Pakistan into their own war for a few months now. So here's my prediction, although be warned it gets a little crazy after the first 5 points:
Ultimately, the two sides:
THE AGGRESSORS
THE RESPONSE
Oddly I see Australia sitting this one out, as their politics are far enough right to not want to go to war with their traditional allies (eg, the USA) but not left enough to support the response in any meaningful way. Something would have to force their involvement.
As for Central and South America, it's a mixed bag. Obviously some countries like El Salvador will support Trump, but I think most of them will defend Panama if they get involved at all. I certainly can't see Argentina and Chile being ok with just letting anybody pass Cape Horn.
Africa I just have no fucking clue. China has been involved in a lot of African countries in very big ways that the African countries aren't entirely happy about. They could take advantage of the circumstances to seize and nationalize Chinese assets within their borders, which puts them at odds with China/Russia/Israel/et allies and I think they would be pretty ok with that. South Africa in particular I think may take a more active role against the aggressors, given their position controlling the Cape of Good Hope.
Tldr if this plays out anything even remotely like what I've written here, and I really REALLY how it doesn't, we're all VERY FUCKED.
(This is a work of total conjecture, I'm probably wrong, so don't waste your breath telling me I'm wrong. That said some of my logic may not be obvious, so I'm happy to answer questions to clarify my thoughts)
Placing the US, Russia and China as allies during a hypothetical WWIII? That's a VERY bold claim.
Also, really doubt the EU could use NATO to declare war on the US, as the US are still the vast majority of NATO's firepower and command.
Yeah and I just saw (after writing all that!) that Russia and China had warned the USA to not attack Iran, so I could absolutely be way off base there.
Edit: the logic had more to do with Russia's ambitions to reform their lost empire. Afaik it's widely believed that after Ukraine, Russia will go for Kazakhstan and possibly Afghanistan. It's less that I see Russia siding with the USA and Israel, and more that I think Russia will be opportunistic in its military expansion.
Whenever you see this phrase, it's going to followed by nonsense nobody serious believes.
The logic is that you went "oh, China and Russia are bad guy countries, so they'll go on the bad guy team, just like in the comic books!"
My logic was exactly what I said it was. I never claimed it was good logic. And I never claimed to be psychic and magically understand what other people's logic is despite them plainly saying their logic is something else. But if that's what makes you feel superior enough to get through the day then you do you.
Despite Western war propaganda to the contrary, Russia doesn’t presently have expansionist ambitions. Previously. Previously. Previously.
Australia will fall in line behind the US because we always fucking do like a bunch of patsies.
We have no record of Pakistan saying that. Iran claimed Pakistan said that.
But in terms of what we do know Pakistan is doing, is it nominates Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize.
It's not just conjecture, it's complete delusion. Pakistan never committed to put feet on the ground for Iran. It would be beyond idiotic considering the state the country is already in.
And even if all logic died and Pakistan somehow sent military support, Israel and the US are more than capable enough to handle it themselves. They don't need India's support and India, being the world's poster child for non-alignment, won't give it even if asked anyway.
It might be hard to understand but India has unironically been friendly with both Iran and Israel at the same time.
Europe and Canada would never ally with Iran.
pakistan will do fuck all. Talking shit is cheap, actually goto war will not happen
do pakistan has weapons to reach israel? and maintain offence for a week?
where's pakistan gonna buy weapons from, china?
Not only does Pakistan have weapons to reach Israel, it has nuclear weapons to reach it.
Also, Pakistan borders Iran, which means together they could move such weapons much closer to Israel.