this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2025
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I just want to respond to my own comment with some follow-up thoughts:
Israel is mostly backed by the US to "protect US interests in the area", which i translate as: mostly oil.
Since the transition to renewable energy is happening at an exponential speed, i guess that the consumption of fossil fuels could be reduced by 2040 by 90%. That would make the US completely independent from oil from the middle east, and the US would no longer need Israel, which would weaken Israel's grip in the region. That is why i think they would retreat, instead of attack.
Just my two cents.