this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2025
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Ehhhh I watched the footage to check (which FYI, is linked with the wrong timestamp - the relevant stuff is at like 4-ish minutes) and think this article is some miss, some hit. The entire discussion (by the ABC) that was being had wasn't on the topic of "how is the Australian economy doing compared to everyone else", it was in a segment with the headline "Reserve Bank set to announce its interest rates decision".
Within the context of the RBA setting interest rates, how we're doing vs peers isn't reeally the core of the discussion. Here's the quote with some more context (I've bolded the first part which the article quotes). Maybe I've just been captured by Big Economics 🫠
IA lists a bunch of stuff that are positive indicators for the economy, but if the headline GDP growth figure is (by "normal" economic standards) low, it seems more like a disagreement over what stats are most important moreso than the actual state of the economy.
I don't feel qualified to authoritatively interpret the retail stats (it's not clear where we're supposed to put the cutoff for "normal" vs "COVID-era" spending, for example) but I'm.. hesitant to agree with the description of "surging". If you look at the graph and say the cutoff is 2022 or 2023, then we're definitely not surging. But even if you go with IA's comparison here where we look at pre-COVID vs current, it's still only a modest increase at a rate comparable to the annual pre-COVID increases (you can draw a trendline from the first bar to the final bar).
The part where there's a mismatch of quoted stats raises an eyebrow, but it makes me want to ask for clarification of information sources before attributing it to malice.
I'm not thrilled with the published Ombudsman response, but that might also be (at least mostly) a case of pulling stats from different sources. The linked OECD data source currently gives an error (even when I hunt it down manually in case it was a URL issue) so I can't check that one. I looked for other sources and it looks like the RBA has published data showing that real (in economic terms, i.e., inflation-adjusted) Australian household disposable income has experienced meaningful negative growth from 2020-2023 inclusive. It's possible that the OECD data is calculated differently and would lead to the stated differences. The RBA data is obviously Australia-only rather than comparative, but it makes it feel plausible to be a data-source issue or some other less malicious error. I don't know what's up with the unsourced QoL claim; it's possible they just mean cost of living stuff? Idk.