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'Damning' New Poll Shows Price Kamala Harris Paid for Backing Israeli Genocide in Gaza
(www.commondreams.org)
this post was submitted on 15 Jan 2025
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politics
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Uh. 500 sample size. To estimate 19 million people's thoughts?
Ok. Sure. What's a "representative sample" then????
Edit: go read the source. The choice of wording alone gives away the fact that this is NOT a properly done analysis.
Read a damn stats book. Jesus Wept! This could literally be a question on a sophomore-level undergrad stats class, and you would fail that question.
They're typically in the couple thousand neighborhood. <500 is crazy small.
That was for the "Biden voters in swing states" poll, so a much smaller population than most polls. Most nationwide political polls of the general public were in the 1,000-1,500 range for a 2-3 point margin of error. Polls with larger sizes were likely to also get useful crosstabs.
MOE for this poll was +/-4.9%, which is high, but not "this is meaningless trash, what even is statistics?!?", especially when the headline numbers are just general sentiment rather than a head to head. In the worst case if "Gaza" was 24 and "the economy" was 29, it's not a very large difference in the finding.