Indeed, Russia still has some currency reserves, the shadow gas fleet, huge increase in domestic production of arms, and has some how kept it's GDP growth up. Not that it doesn't have issues on it's horizon, but time is still there to wiggle around them. Also you are correct about Ukraine, many reasons to be enthusiastic, but Winter still looks like it might be rough.
And Trump, well yea still many days to the election and he may yet pull Vance's thumb out of his ass. Can't say I don't like the nice poll numbers from swing states though, seems like Harris has some good appeal to the swing voters.
It's getting it's info from Media Bias Fact Check so explain to me how their method is wrong? You prefer All Sides. Or Ad Fontes Media? Both of which also say leaning left.