benjhm

joined 1 year ago
[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 week ago

From the photos, it also appears that the "sun god" isn't strong enough to penetrate the seasonal smog (maybe that's what they're praying for?).

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I'm aware of the racism issue, I even observed it myself in China, even many years ago.
But i've also seen similar problems in other corners of the world. Such cultural concepts can change slowly, as they did over here.
Anyway, I doubt this would dissuade people trying to connect what will become the world's main supply of surplus young labour, with the world's greatest demand for care-services, combined with spare apartments, money, and a milder climate. Not saying it’s good or bad, just trying to anticipate future changes.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 week ago

Indeed that piece of evidence suggests it, but did CCP really want republicans in power? They are all authoritarians, but those can end up fighting each other, just starting with the trade war that has been promised.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I agree. For global discussions, are many Indians going to learn Chinese, Swahili, Hausa, Arabic, and vice-versa ? Meanwhile international-english is the new latin... Even within India, the south insists to keep english as an official language, to avoid being dominated by more populous hindi-speaking north.
Alternatively LLM-translation may facilitate multi-lingual discussion, but in this case the language of software development may still be influential during such transition.
By the way - this is an important topic for future of lemmy, which should expand more towards the south - where's a good place to develop it (beyond such set of replies)?

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 0 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

article doesn't consider the agenda of the owner of X and its algorithms

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

That seems like a big change in one year. It may to some extent reflect delay, as on average chinese used to pair-up at a younger age than typical in europe, also maybe some feel old traditions aren't necessary to keep a stable family with children. But the article says, the core factors are economic. Even so, as they have built so many surplus apartments, the [real] prices must drop, I wonder how many years before they are trying to sell the chinese dream to migrants from Africa or elsewhere.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 week ago

Bonne nouvelle enfin, mais anticipée, le déboisement suit la cycle politique
( et en cycle politique, le Brésil semble suivre les états unis avec un délais de deux ans ... ). Ils ont aussi la motivation, que bcp de monde viendront le voir l'année prochain pour COP30 à Belem. Pendant ce temps, l’Amazonie continue de brûler grace aux rétroactions climatiques, j'espère qu'on puisse rapporter les nuages.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 2 points 3 weeks ago

Back in 2011, I with my young family took a local bus north from Mariana, which diverted through several villages including that one Bento Rodrigues just below the dam, soon to be washed away. Through gaps in the trees we could glimpse those huge orange lakes just behind earth dams - it was obvious even to a casual tourist that it was a disaster waiting to happen. But the bus was run by the mining company, like all services around there, I suppose that's why people didn't complain more.
By the way I was told Brazil didn't even make much from iron mines, as most of raw ore was exported to China, which got the real value.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 1 points 3 weeks ago

Emissions grew in 2023, that's not the same as 'are now growing'. There is a good chance global CO2 emissions fall in 2024, mainly due to trends in China. Of course it takes time to gather data, but NS should be more careful with the headline.
The spinscore link has useful refs - but keeps mixing up CO2 emissions with "CO2 equivalents" including methane, landuse and minor gases. Methane rising is a big issue, but might potentially be turned around faster. Regarding landuse, deforestation was exacerbated last year by El Niño feedbacks - it's hard to separate the anthropogenic part of these fluxes.
Rather than simple headlines which encourage fatalistic doom, it's more useful to explain how some factors progress better than others. They are right to highlight growth in road transport and aviation (even if some growth still covid-rebound), although more effort still needed in all sectors.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 month ago

Sure, China needs more ambitious medium-term climate targets, and this matters as its emissions are such a large fraction of the total, so their projections strongly influence global climate goals. But much changed recently - their capacity for renewables is huge, and road transport electrifies. Meanwhile China is heading downhill now - population is clearly declining, emissions probably are too (awaiting latest data), and maybe even economy depending on which statistics you believe, and whether there's any soft-landing from the housing stall.
So the peaking target is probably no longer relevant, although they may still have trouble with their gdp intensity targets (due lower gdp than expected) - but there are various ways to re-interpret that.
It doesn't surprise me that Tsinghua profs try to keep options open to nourish the dreams of the old men in power - just maybe their three-child policy will bear fruit, maybe people want even more highways and bridges to nowhere, or they can keep exporting such projects (including their steel) to africa, south asia etc.
China also occasional gets extra-cold blasts some winters, which may help to explain keeping coal power capacity as a backup, while also keeping regional coal tycoons on-side, but on average this capacity may not get used much.
So when comparing targets, and especially aggregating such targets across countries to project the climate outcome, it's important to bear in mind that the gap between official ambition and reality - the probability of meeting emissions targets - differs a lot between countries, this partly reflects political systems - and China seems particularly 'conservative' in this regard ...

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 month ago

Looking forward - eventually - to trying out the wasm option, which might eventually help speed up my interactive climate-scenario model which already runs with scala.js. Although speed is not currently the limiting factor, a wasm option might expand the potential scope - for example to increase regional resolution. However I presume to do this I'd have to refactor the code a lot, to keep all the gui and io in js while pushing the intensive calculations to wasm, and create data interfaces between these (at a rather low level if i understand correctly?), which could get tricky as it’s tightly coupled, code evolved over 24 years ...
Puzzled why wasm is promoted for "backend", which already has other compilation targets (jvm, native), seems to me this is a bigger opportunity to do complex calculations in the browser.

[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 29 points 1 month ago (58 children)

Hmm. I'm still using a 2014 iMac, as its 27" 5k screen still very good for coding (with added memory). Sometimes develops a bunch of thin vertical lines, which come and go maybe dependent on temperature, but hasn't changed for for ten years and i can live with those. Just wish they'd continue providing security updates for it.

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