this post was submitted on 08 Feb 2024
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The dispute comes from Colorado — but it could have national implications for Trump and his political fate.

top 14 comments
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[–] FunderPants@lemmy.ca 1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Wow, fascism is in its legal phase in America for sure. These judges are going to let him run, there is no actual penalty for insurrection. They guarantee a repeat of Jan 6 with this, may as well have a do over.

I have to shut this off, because it seems obvious where it is going.

[–] octopus_ink@lemmy.ml 1 points 8 months ago

All of them opposed oversight with regard to ethics for the SC, so nothing surprises me anymore.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Fucking Clarence Thomas isn't going to allow it because there isn't any real example of it being used back in the day.

Looks like Alito and Roberts agree.

Edit Sounds like Kavanaugh too.

Edit Looks like there's AT LEAST 5 votes to overturn Colorado.

[–] kescusay@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago

Yep. Thomas is, predictably, on the exact wrong side of this. As he is with every issue.

[–] kescusay@lemmy.world 0 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Jonathan Mitchell, one of Trump's attorneys, is currently trying to argue the whole "president isn't an officer" garbage.

Edit: Mitchell is giving a master class on how to split inconsequential hairs.

Edit 2: Kavanaugh and Gorsuch have been asking some surprisingly good (and pointed) questions of Mitchell that make me wonder what their actual positions will ultimately be.

Edit 3: KJB picking at Trump's legal team's arguments pretty effectively.

Edit 4: Trump's team is done for now. Now the real lawyers are up.

Edit 5: Thomas asking for examples of national candidates being disqualified at the state level.

Edit 6: Thomas is such a gas bag when he deigns to speak.

Edit 7: Roberts clearly signals that he wants to punt this to Congress.

Edit 8: Multiple justices questioning whether this is a state-level decision.

Edit 9: Roberts bringing up the possibility of retaliatory attempts to remove candidates if Trump is removed. Seems awfully specious, but it's more signaling that he really doesn't want to make a decision on this.

Edit 10: Conservatives on the court spent the last five minutes or so arguing from a position that if Trump is held to be an insurrectionist, anyone can be held to be an insurrectionist.

Edit 11: Honestly, I think Jason Murray (lawyer for Colorado) is doing an absolutely phenomenal job with some extremely hostile - and ridiculous - questioning.

Final edit: That's it for live-blogging this, I have shit to do. But applause for Murray, he's rocked it.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago

The Congressional angle I don't understand.

The 14th states that Congress can CLEAR a candidate who would otherwise be barred, but that still means he would be barred otherwise.

[–] uis@lemmy.world 0 points 8 months ago

It is so annoying that lemmy.world politics community is only about US. Either make it not only-US or rename it to US politics.

[–] oDDmON@lemmy.world 0 points 8 months ago (1 children)

This case, before a packed court and we should expect…?

[–] MagicShel@programming.dev 0 points 8 months ago (1 children)

They are probably going to rule in Trump's favor, but I'll be curious to see their reasoning. There are reasons beyond the current situation that it might be bad to remove him from the ballot - for example observe the threats in other states to remove Biden from the ballot. While that is clearly retaliatory bullshit, how do we prevent, for example, Texas deciding that whatever Biden is doing or not doing on the border amounts to insurrection and so he's off the ballot? And Biden could sue to get on the ballot, but that could be costly and if there isn't a stay by the court it could take until after the election to prove he should've been on it. Without a way to forestall this, we run the risk of a victory over Trump today creating havoc in the future.

That being said, the court is packed with originalists, and if we just go by the letter of the law and precedent and figure it is for the legislative branch to fix the problems, then it's really hard to argue that a state is compelled to allow a candidate on the ballot that they deem has committed insurrection. Every hole you might poke in it has already been answered definitively. Is the law meant to apply to the President? Absolutely 100% as you can see from the record of congressional debate over it. Must the person be found guilty of a specific crime? No, that has never been the case and it was so applied at the time. Gorsuch himself ruled that a state may exclude from the ballot a candidate who is ineligible to serve.

Every single question of law seems to have been answered definitively. Plus, Trump is an albatross. He is destroying the Republican party from within and the adults in the room know it but are powerless (gutless, I think) to stop him. Behind the scenes they might well be praying to the Supreme Court to offer them a solution.

I believe it could go either way, but I'm going to assume they will restore Trump to the ballot because of politics and perhaps looking at the future it is the least-disruptive change. As much a I hate Trump and would love to guarantee he cannot be President, I'm not sure the future is best served by keeping him off.

What happens if states collude to deny one (or any) candidate 270 electoral votes? Well, then each state gets a single vote which will (as things currently stand) go to the Republicans every single time. There are states so gerrymandered that they have Democrat-majority populations but Republican-controlled legislatures, so this doesn't seem to me to be an unrealistic possibility. This would obviously be terrible if the Supreme Court rules against Trump without also somehow preventing this sort of thing.

Caveat: I'm not a lawyer or expert on any of this. My concerns about possible results of keeping him off the ballot might be completely unfounded.

[–] Kbin_space_program@kbin.social 0 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I am not a lawyer.

He's absolutely responsible for the jan 6 2021 insurrection. But he's not actually legally guilty of it yet, no?

I suspect that they might rule that only someone convicted of insurrection can be removed from the ballot; regardless of the actual letter of the law nor requiring that.

[–] FlowVoid@lemmy.world -1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Keep in mind that the SCOTUS majority have spent decades advocating the doctrine of "originalism".

Originalists think that the 14th means whatever the Reconstructionists who wrote it thought it meant. And it's abundantly clear that Reconstructionists did not intend to prosecute former Confederates but still wanted to keep them out of office.

If the SCOTUS majority ignores what Reconstructionists thought in order to help Trump, it would be like the Pope ignoring Catholic doctrine in order to help Trump. They can do it, but they know their legal theory will never be taken seriously again. And that's a big deal, since Justices are ultimately remembered for their legal theories.

[–] Nobody@lemmy.world 0 points 8 months ago

True, but politics tends to put an asterisk by justices' rulings. In Bush v. Gore, the Ds were arguing states rights, while the Rs were arguing federal supremacy. Completely against their usual positions, but everyone knows why.

[–] meshuggahn@lemmy.world 0 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Someone help me out with some legal definitions here. If I am not mistaken this lawsuite is about Trump's eligibility to be on the Primary ballot. Not the actual election ballot. What is to stop the supreme Court from saying the constitutional requirements do not apply to the primary ballots because those ballots don't elect a president. The RNC could nominate a golden retriever as their nominee in the primary if they want, it just wouldnt be eligible in the general election.

We are just going to have to go through this all again ahead of the general election arent we.

[–] FlowVoid@lemmy.world -1 points 8 months ago

The Colorado supreme court said that Trump is not eligible to be president, which means he can't be on the general ballot either.

The SCOTUS agreed to hear an appeal. That means they will have to decide whether the Colorado ruling was correct or incorrect. Either way, they will determine whether Trump will appear on the general ballot in Colorado.