They were talking about this on the radio and suggested that countries with OR did better because parties weren't just focused on the electoral cycle, which leads to short-term thinking. Instead, where you get coalitions parties who will often stick around for years and so are forced to think longer-term.
this post was submitted on 21 Dec 2023
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LFF yet again put the cart before the horse.
The problem, as they acknowledge, is that power is held in a minority of swing seats. It isn't only Labour and the Tories that benefit from this, but those voters as well.
But if Labour put voting reform in to their manifesto - and for it to be a day 1 issue they would have to - all it takes is for the Tories to run the sort of negative campaign we saw with the AV referendum, and every election since, in those swing seats for Labour to not win, and not be able to make the change.
The only route to electoral reform unfortunately seems to be a second Labour term. The theory being that it would be harder to run the sort of negative campaign the Tories would do, after a successful first term.
Or, via a coalition agreement, and instead of having a referendum - because parliament does not need one to decide how it's members are elected - just enact the reform.
If Labour put it in their 2024 manifesto, it would be too easily defeated.
I keep hearing this argument a lot. A very similar story with reversing Brexit. Educating the public is key to a successful result. Where as I agree with the Brexit case, I disagree with the PR voting. There are polls that show 70% of those asked that they want electoral reform. Adding this as an election is called would stop any organisations forming a campaign against it. Labour have a mission statement released. They do not have a manifesto pledge yet. There is an overwhelming desire from the Labour membership for PR voting. It would not be an unreasonable thing to do.
And more so, I feel this needs to be kept in the limelight to remind Labour that it is an item that is high on the voters want lists.
Sure Labour could add it, and yes 70%+ do support it, but you're ignoring the fact that tories don't need to convince >50% that electoral reform isn't needed, they only need to convince enough people to swing the vote in swing seats to keep themselves in power. That's maybe a few 100k people across the entire country, much much less than 50% of the electorate.
And more so, I feel this needs to be kept in the limelight to remind Labour that it is an item that is high on the voters want lists.
Bluntly, it doesn't matter what people who are already voting Labour want. I live in one of the safest Labour seats in the country, policies that turn a 25k majority in to a 26k majority are meaningless.
People who are already progressive leaning, if voting in a tory target seat, are likely to vote tactically against the Tories, regardless of party or manifesto (Lab, Lib, or Green).
So you're back to tory swing voters, and if they care about it. This is precisely why we need electoral reform, but it's precisely the thing that stops it.
The priority order must be
- Get the Tories out (via winning)
- Keep the Tories out (via electoral reform)
And if we get the Tories out and Starmer doesn't announce it for the next election in 2028, what would be the point of voting Labour then?
Depends on where you live.
If you can vote for a party with ER in their manifesto, and doing so doesn't risk a tory government, then absolutely do it.
If you can't, you've got to make a choice.
I live in a very Labour dominant area. My MP is a total waste of space. I am going to pinch really tight on my nose when I vote the next time around.
I mean if you genuinely live in a labour dominant area, you can vote for whomever you like, unless the polls change drastically.
It's not like it will suddenly swing Tory at the next election, with no warning.
I think we have all seen that there is no guarantees with politics these days. So no, that is not an option if I want to remove the Tories. Give me PR voting then I will vote for what I want, rather than what I don't want, which is the case currently.
I think you can even position it as a continuation 0f the ideas that a lot of people's Brexit vote was based on. Parliamentary sovereignty requiring it to actually be representative of the population's opinion. A higher quality parliament for a parliament with greater responsibilities.
Yeah not surprised with LFF. Lots of surface level commentary without substance. But absolutely agree with your analysis. I wish it wasn't the case that we have to wait even longer for electoral reform but the realist in me knows this needs to happen in the way you described.
I'll go further and say that whilst Labour are successful (two terms three terms whatever) this will also never happen. I don't have faith in them not to be sucked in again by power like the Tories have been. I think only a coalition can force the thing through.
People criticise Labour for dropping pledges, or not committing to bringing in proportional representation, during a cost of living crisis and a media war led by the right-wing press that's constantly distracting people with inflammatory rage bait about small boats and culture wars.
Those people didn't learn the lesson of 2019; do not write a manifesto covering loads of seemingly disparate issues.
The cool kids in the room, of which I very much am one, understand the connection between voting systems and under-representation, because it was part of our initiation in to the cool kids club. Unfortunately most people have better things to do with their lives than study to pass that exam, so it isn't clear. It's a failure of the cool kids to communicate that connection simply and correctly.
Or to put it another way, electoral reform underpins everything, but it's feels both very abstract, and like the people who are promoting it are trying to change to rules of game, because they can't currently win. And tbh, there is a lot of truth in that, even if the current rules are massively unfair.