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homie lemme let you in on a secret that shouldn't be secret
in therapy, 40% of positive client outcomes come from external factors changing
10% come from my efforts
10% come from their efforts
and the last 40% comes from the therapeutic alliance itself
people heal through the relationship they have with their counselor
not a fucking machine
this field ain't going anywhere, not any time soon. not until we have fully sentient general ai with human rights and shit
I don't think there's harm in allowing people who would never be able to afford life-saving medicine to have life-saving medicine cat-puzzle-feeder style
Edit: this was me and access hasn't changed the fact that I do no generally derive value from it.
Interestingly, and somewhat related, it was tested years ago whether a Robot could bring comfort/social support to lonely pets/elderly.
The results were outstandingly in support, and this is going into actual commercial usage/development as we speak.
I won't trust a tech company with my most intimate secrets. Human therapists won't get fully replaced by ai
I don't think the AI everyone is so buzzed about today is really a true AI. As someone summed it up: it's more like a great autocomplete feature but it's not great at understanding things.
It will be great to replace Siri and the Google assistant but not at giving people professional advice by a long shot.
Even if AI did make psychology redundant in a couple of years (which I'd bet my favourite blanket it won't), what are the alternatives? If AI can take over a field that is focused more than most others on human interaction, personal privacy, thoughts, feelings, and individual perceptions, then it can take over almost any other field before that. So you might as well go for it while you can.
The fields that will hold out the longest will be selected by legal liability rather than technical challenge.
Piloting a jumbo jet for example, has been automated for decades but you’ll never see an airline skipping the pilot.
It's just like with programming: The people who are scared of AI taking their jobs are usually bad at them.
AI is incredibly good at regurgitating information and translation, but not at understanding. Programming can be viewed as translation, so they are good at it. LLMs on their own won't become much better in terms of understanding, we're at a point where they are already trained on all the good data from the internet. Now we're starting to let AIs collect data directly from the world (chatGPT being public is just a play to collect more data), but that's much slower.
I am not a psychologist yet. I only have a basic understanding of the job description but it is a field that I would like to get into.
I guess you are right. If you are good at your job, people will find you just like with most professions.
I slightly disagree, in general I think you're on point, but artists specially are actually being fired and replaced by AI, and that trend will continue untill there's a major lawsuit because someone used a trademarked thing from another company.
The web is one thing, but access to senses and a body that can manipulate the world will be a huge watershed moment for AI.
Then it will be able to learn about the world in a much more serious way.
No, it won't. I don't think I would have made it here today alive without my therapist. There may be companies that have AI agents doing therapy sessions but your qualifications will still be priceless and more effective in comparison.
Given how little we know about the inner workings of the brain (I'm a materialist, so to me the mind is the result of processes in the brain), I think there is still ample room for human intuition in therapy. Also, I believe there will always be people who prefer talking to a human over a machine.
Think about it this way: Yes, most of our furniture is mass-produced by IKEA and others like it, but there are still very successful carpenters out there making beautiful furniture for people.
That's a fair point.
I was gonna say given how little we know about the inner workings of the brain, we need to be hesitant about drawing strict categorical boundaries between ourselves and LLMs.
There’s a powerful motivation to believe they are not as capable as us, which probably skews our perceptions and judgments.
Psychotherapy is about building a working relationship. Transference is a big part of this relationship. I don't feel like I'd be able to build the same kind of therapeutic relationship with an AI that I would with another human. That doesn't mean AI can't be a therapeutic tool. I can see how it could be beneficial with things like positive affirmations and disrupting negative thinking patterns. But this wouldn't be a substitute for psychotherapy, just a tool for enhancing it.
AI cannot think, it does not logic or reason. It outputs a result from an input prompt. That will not solve psychological problems.
It's what AI does at the moment. Which may not necessarily be true in a few years, what's what OP is asking about.
Here's a case study for you: An eating disorder hotline got rid of the humans in favor of an AI chatbot. Lasted less than a week before it was giving horrible advice.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/may/31/eating-disorder-hotline-union-ai-chatbot-harm
Psychology will be controlled by humans, probably forever.
Hey, maybe your back ground in psychology will help with unfucking an errant LLM or actual AI someday :P
There is the theory that most therapy methods work by building a healthy relationship with the therapist and using that for growth since it’s more reliable than the ones that caused the issues in the first place. As others have said, I don’t believe that a machine has this capability simply by being too different. It’s an embodiment problem.
Given the vast array of existing pitfalls in AI, not to mention the outright biases and absence of facts - AI psychology would be deeply flawed and would more likely kill people.
Person: I'm having unaliving thoughts, I feel like it's the only thing I can do
AI: Ok do it then
That alone is why it'll never happen.
Also we need to sort out how to house, heal and feed our people before we start going and replacing masses of workforce.
I think it is one of these things that AI can't make redundant, never.
All my points have already been (better) covered by others in the time it took me to type them, but instead of deleting will post anyway :)
If your concerns are about AI replacing therapists & psychologists why wouldn't that same worry apply to literally anything else you might want to pursue? Ostensibly anything physical can already be automated so that would remove "blue-collar" trades and now that there's significant progress into creative/"white-collar" sectors that would mean the end of everything else.
Why carve wood sculptures when a CNC machine can do it faster & better? Why learn to write poetry when there's LLMs?
Even if there was a perfect recreation of their appearance and mannerisms, voice, smell, and all the rest -- would a synthetic version of someone you love be equally as important to you? I suspect there will always be a place and need for authentic human experience/output even as technology constantly improves.
With therapy specifically there's probably going to be elements that an AI can [semi-]uniquely deal with just because a person might not feel comfortable being completely candid with another human; I believe that's what using puppets or animals or whatever to act as an intermediary are for. Supposedly even a really basic thing like ELIZA was able convince some people it was intelligent and they opened up to it and possibly found some relief from it, and there's nothing in it close to what is currently possible with AI. I can envision a scenario in the future where a person just needs to vent and having a floating head just compassionately listen and offer suggestions will be enough; but I think most(?) people would prefer/need an actual human when the stakes are higher than that -- otherwise the suicide hotlines would already just be pre-recorded positive affirmation messages.
You still had some good/new points in last paragraph. Thx
By the way, if you want to try Eliza, you can telnet into telehack.com
and run the command eliza
to launch it.
I don't think many people would want to seek psychiatric care from what they might see as a computer. A large part of clinical psychology is creating and maintaining a relationship with patients and I highly doubt language models will become sophisticated enough to achieve that in seven years, if at all. Remember these aren't true AI's, they are language models. They have a long way to go before they can be seen as true intelligences.
Many valid points here, but here is a slightly different perspective. Let’s say for the sake of discussion AI is somehow disruptive here. So?
You cannot predict what will happen in this very fast space. You should not attempt to do so in a way that compromises your path toward your interests.
If you like accounting or art or anything else that AI may disrupt… so what? Do it because you are interested. It may be hyper important to have people that did so in any given field no matter how unexpected. And most importantly, doing what interest you is always at least part of a good plan.
I'm sure as fuck glad my therapist is a human and not a Chatbot.
Also, psychologists will be needed to design AI interfaces so humans have an easy time using them.
A friend of mine studied psychology and now works for a car company, designing their infotainment system UI so that people can instinctively use it without consulting a manual. Those kinds of jobs will become more, not less in the future.
It's definitely possible, but such an AI would probably be good enough to take over every other field too. So it's not like you can avoid it by choosing something else anyway.
And the disruption would be large enough that governments will have to react in some way.
AI won't do psychology redundant. Might allow for an easier and broader access to low level psychological first support.
What is more likely to make psychological consultants a risky investment is the economic crisis. People are already prioritizing food over psychological therapy. Psychological therapy unfortunately is nowadays a "luxury item".
I seriosly think that a psychologist or a therapist would be one of the few jobs that will never get replaced by AI... or at least not in the near future (10 years or so).
Though the question is valid, I would agree.
Tomorrow's psychologists will be the ones to "program" AIs. It will be a very important profession.
If you're going to avoid psychology, do it because of the replication crisis. What is being called "AI" should play no role on that. Here's why.
Let us suppose for a moment that some AI 7y from now is able to accurately diagnose and treat psychological issues that someone might have. Even then the AI in question is not a moral agent that can be held responsible for its actions, and that is essential when you're dealing with human lives. In other words you'll still need psychologists picking the output of said AI and making informed decisions on what the patient should [not] do.
Furthermore, I do not think that those "AI systems" will be remotely as proficient at human tasks in, say, a decade, as some people are claiming that they will be. AI is a misnomer, those systems are not intelligent. Model-based text generators are a great example of that (and relevant in your case): play a bit with ChatGPT or Bard, and look at their output in a somewhat consistent way (without cherry picking the hits and ignoring the misses). Then you'll notice that they don't really understand anything - they're reproducing grammatical patterns regardless of their content. (Just like they were programmed to.)
I haven't heard of Replication Crisis. Thanks for pointing that out.
It boils down to scientists not knowing if they're actually reaching some conclusion or just making shit up. It's actually a big concern across multiple sciences, it's just that Psychology is being hit really hard, and for clinical psychologists this means that they simply can't trust as much the theoretical frameworks guiding their decisions as they were supposed to.
They already do have AI therapy assistants. CBT type therapy is particularly easy to turn into an app. There are half a dozen in the Google Play store now. They're a nice reminder at times, but no substitute for human conversation.
Once we do have AIs capable of conversation indistinguishable from real human, then therapy is not the only job that will be disrupted. Therapy will be no more or less safe a career path than so many other things.
Second, humans will still need to program, train, and monitor the therapy AIs. The obvious candidates to fill the role at first are experienced therapists with a bit of tech savvy. Until they optimize to the point where the job can be done by warm bodies paid minimum wage, probably "contractors" so liability can be compartmentalized. Then we're back to the point above where everyone in any career is fucked anyway, might as well do what you're good at and what you enjoy for a decade or two.
Most basic therapy dealing with relatively simple problems like mild to moderate depression and anxiety will likely be pretty responsive to AI based treatment, but people with serious and persistent mental illness will still need therapists.
I think you're taking South Park too seriously.