this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
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A short analysis on whether Lewandowski's lack of a 6-game goal drought over 12 seasons is impressive or not (alien.top)
submitted 1 year ago by radiowires@alien.top to c/main@soccer.forum
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[–] coolguyhavingchillda@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This is given that he scored so many. What about if you chose the poisson parameter based on all first choice strikers or something

[–] HumansNeedNotApply1@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I don't understand, if you didn't data scrapped real perfomances this analysis doesn't tell much.

[–] TheRealYVT@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Lovely work.

[–] HelpMeSum1Help@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Was your simulation based on playing 90 minutes per game?

[–] DorothyJMan@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Doesn't this have to be followed with 'given the amount of goals he scored'?

This shows that avoiding a 6-game goal drought over 12 season while scoring over 300 goals is notable but not extraordinary.

I think that misses the point. The point is that a player never having a 6-game drought over 12 seasons is incredibly rare.