The problem is that small vote shares in a survey are not reliably measured when you consider measurement uncertainty. It makes sense to not include very low shares to avoid an unwarranted impression of accuracy.
this post was submitted on 04 Jun 2024
11 points (92.3% liked)
Europe
8484 readers
1 users here now
News/Interesting Stories/Beautiful Pictures from Europe πͺπΊ
(Current banner: Thunder mountain, Germany, π©πͺ ) Feel free to post submissions for banner pictures
Rules
(This list is obviously incomplete, but it will get expanded when necessary)
- Be nice to each other (e.g. No direct insults against each other);
- No racism, antisemitism, dehumanisation of minorities or glorification of National Socialism allowed;
- No posts linking to mis-information funded by foreign states or billionaires.
Also check out !yurop@lemm.ee
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
That's the right answer. I couldn't find a poll that explicitly states it on my quick search, but if I am not mistaken I saw a poll in TV lately that showed an uncertainty of about 2-3%. It just makes no sense to list parties that are below that value.
You are correct. Most of these polls only have 1000 to 2000 participants.
Perhaps those small % are more 'volatile' and prone to change? That would motivate hiding or lumping everyone altogether under 'Others'
Some of the polls on wahlrecht.de include the smaller parties. The latest one that does is from march though, unfortunately.
I would say for whether or not your vote really counts it doesn't matter if the party has 20.5% or 0.5%. Each vote counts the same towards the next seat, which may be the first or the twentieth. So I would encourage everyone to vote small parties (except for the crazy ones).
0.5% gets you seats in German system?
Yes, but this is the final European election without a threshold in Germany.
No, you need a bit more than a percent to get a seat, given proportional representation:
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/infographic/meps-seats/index_en.html
Iβm not sure how the apportionment of remaining seats is performed in Germany and whether itβs a EU standard or up to the states, but in NL you need at least one full seat to be eligible for additional ones based on fractional seats.
I couldnβt find an equivalent German page.
In Germany, you can get a seat with less than 1%. In the last election, ΓDP got one with 0.6%. Not an expert on the electoral system, but I'd guess it's because Germany has more seats in the first place.
No, it's because there is no electoral threshold for EU elections in Germany. Every party with enough votes for a seat gets that seat (which is projected to be around 0.5% but depends on the total number of voters). Unfortunately, this is the last election without a threshold in Germany