this post was submitted on 14 Jul 2024
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It might be more about energising the base to turn out rather than swaying the undecided voters at this point.
Even still, Trump already had the most energized base there is. Like taking a flamethrower to an active volcano eruption.
For every energised Trump supporter you see, there's 1000 more sitting at home nodding along to their Fox broadcast. Same for any political party.. The vast vast vast majority of us aren't motivated enough to leave our homes for politics outside of election day.
No, it's not the same for any political party. There is a huge and infamous bias. Conservative voters VOTE. There is a 30% base that always votes, and always votes conservative. That makes up MOST conservative voters, the difference is mainly swing voters.
This is why voter turnout so so important for progressive candidates, and why voter disenfranchisement and generally muddying the waters is such an effective strategy for conservatives. Nothing that happens ever affects their base, but if the rest of the voters don't turn out, then conservatives win. When there are large turnouts, conservatives get CRUSHED every time.
It's not the same for any political party.
He’s also disillusioned a lot of who should be his base by being who he is.
Ironic but here in 2024 we’re going to be hoping for the
silent majorityon the right to stay home.It might not even be about voting anymore at this point. Their god-king was almost assassinated. This will 100% mobilize certain people to do certain things.
Shit maybe they postpone the election. I don't even know if that would be a good thing or bad thing at this point.
Edit: By "they," I don't mean Trump or the Republicans. My point is that a whole lot can happen between now and November, and I think we can all agree by now that it's impossible to predict what that will be. If political violence escalates far enough, I don't think some kind of emergency declaration by Biden is outside the realm of possibility.
Would obviously have severe implications... But so does everything else that's happening so...
Trump can't postpone the election. He's not president.
I didn't say Trump would postpone the election, did I?
A lot can happen between now and November. Given how things have been going, lots of things we have no way of predicting at this point. If political violence escalates far enough, I could see there being some kind of State of Emergency declared or some shit.
This ain't nothing. This is why I don't think people truly appreciate what it would be like to live through civil war or a Troubles-esque civil unrest.
An election has never been postponed and never will be for the snowflakes
Wasn't really my point. You can see my edit for some clarification if you want.
The is going to be their Reichstag moment.