this post was submitted on 16 Apr 2024
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Unless I mathed wrong, that's over 1 million dollars per person that the AFN is estimating. Seems unrealistic to me, but I'm not an expert.
How much do you think it costs to build a water treatment plant on each of the 28 First Nations communities that have boil water advisories?
Or the cost of fixing/building the "estimated 85,700 existing housing units, 34% require minor repairs and 31% require major repairs. An additional 108,803 housing units are needed to address overcrowding, replacement, and population growth." PDF source
Or the cost of repairing/replacing the "202 First Nations schools are overcrowded and require additions; 56 First Nations schools require immediate replacement based on reported poor conditions. Estimates indicate that First Nations are only being funded 23% of their educational capital needs when compared to the Government of Canadaβs budget 2021 commitments." PDF source
I guess that's my question. My estimate would easily be a factor of 10 lower.
A quick search gives me this for a treatment plant for a town in Ontario: $32 million (https://www.wellingtonadvertiser.com/erin-wastewater-treatment-plant-will-cost-town-up-to-32-million/). So we're under a billion dollars and all 28 communities now have proper water. What are we even waiting for, let's go!
At $200k to build per 1500 sq ft single family home (possibly aggressively low, but I'm using this to guide my numbers, and trying to go average: https://wowa.ca/how-much-does-it-cost-to-build-a-house), for 90000 homes we're around $20 billion. Call it $25 billion with hookups (I don't know if that was included on wowa.ca)
In 2018 it cost $30 million to build an elementary school in Thunder Bay. Let's call it $50 million and for 56 schools we're at 3 billion dollars.
Still only at $30 billion.
Does that include transportation costs to remote communities? Don't forget that transportation is either by ice road or airplane, and global warming is shortening the ice road season to weeks instead of months.
Add 20% for remoteness and we're at 36 billion
50% and we're at 45. It's not going to be 10-15 times more.
You are failing to include the true costs again.
Source = "Northern Ontario Air Transportation and Remote Community Resilience and Wellbeing" https://tspace.library.utoronto.ca/bitstream/1807/103693/1/Dimayuga_Pia_Isabel_202011_MAS_thesis.pdf
Well, think about it this way:
A standard house for 4 people is probably in the range of 200k - 400k. Then you would need supporting infrastructure for each house - sewage and gas pipe connections, electrical connections, road infrastructure, all that jazz. That's probably another 100k right there. And then public infrastrcture for things like schools, parks, firefighters, police, road equipment, etc. It's easy to see why the costs would add up quickly to roughly $1 million or more per person. Managing city infrastructure is really damn expensive, especially for more ineffective housing options (hellooooooooo, suburbia!).
The numbers you've listed are not even $1 million per 4 people, let alone per person.
I'm not saying it's impossible, it just seems like a lot to me. Maybe it includes long term maintenance costs?