Collapse

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This is the place for discussing the potential collapse of modern civilization and the environment.

Collapse, in this context, refers to the significant loss of an established level or complexity towards a much simpler state. It can occur differently within many areas, orderly or chaotically, and be willing or unwilling. It does not necessarily imply human extinction or a singular, global event. Although, the longer the duration, the more it resembles a ‘decline’ instead of collapse.

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Demographic Delusions: World Population Growth Is Exceeding Most Projections and Jeopardising Scenarios for Sustainable Futures (www.mdpi.com)

submitted 6 months ago by eleitl@lemmy.ml to c/collapse@lemmy.ml

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[–] kbal@fedia.io 3 points 6 months ago

From the abstract:

Projections based on education and income as drivers of fertility decline ignore the reverse causation, that lowering fertility through family planning interventions enabled economic advancement and improved women’s education access

Interesting. I'd noticed that the best-known projections were unreasonably optimistic in some ways when you look at them in detail, but this angle is novel to me.