this post was submitted on 21 Feb 2024
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forecasting

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Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.

Related community: !predictions@lemmy.ca

Forecasting can be about economics, marketing, products, finance, technology, policies, demographics, energy, climate, crime, politics, or whatever.

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copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de
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How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters? (news.manifold.markets)
submitted 8 months ago by copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de to c/forecasting@discuss.tchncs.de
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[–] copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de 1 points 8 months ago

The market now gives Biden an 89% chance (up from a brief low of 86% after the Klein article)