this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2023
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It's the majority of states thing that makes me feel very pessimistic though. I think Yes would pass with a majority of voters across the whole country, but in essence the votes in big, sparser states like Qld and WA and to some degree SA have more weight and I think it is extremely unlikely that these three would have a majority Yes. Really don't know about NSW either. Vic would be the only one that I think is a safe Yes majority