this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2025
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By 2030, AI will greatly outperform humans in some complex intellectual tasks. Discover how LLMs are doubling their capabilities every seven months.

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[โ€“] spankmonkey@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

Since CPU speeds are still doubling every 18 months you have a solid point!

Or maybe not since you are probably referring to the doubling of transistors that was an observation which was accurate over a lengthy period of time in the context of when the observation was made. Nobody said that would continue indefinitely either.

[โ€“] abruptly8951@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago

Yup, that's what I was alluding to, while it may not still be the case for transistors, they did manage to take 50 odd years to get there, push that trend line from the figure 50 years heh (not saying you should, 5 seems much more conservative)

Take a look at Nvidias pace wrt Moore's law (of FLOPS) https://netrouting.com/nvidia-surpassing-moores-law-gpu-innovation/