this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2025
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Privacy
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Party manifestos are dreamy wishlists for a parliament, in which they have the absolute majority. Merz's CDU tories did not win one. He'll need to form a coalition. Most likely outcome is one with the SPD social democrats. Coalition talks have a way of grinding these wishlists down. And they take time. So keep a watchful eye but it's too early to despair.
SPD as a junior Partner to the Union has a history of just allowing them to do whatever they want
True. But the social democrats are the only feasible way to a majority for Merz right now without the help of Nazis. There is at least potential strength in that. Plus the SPD know about their past. They'll have to find a way to strengthen their party's position in government somehow. They may surprise us with the spontaneous growth of a backbone in this area, under new leadership. All I'm saying is the die is not cast yet.
Yeah, but the SPD now has a long tradition in surveillance and police support. Especially if Nancy Faeser stays interior minister
My crystal ball tells me she will not be part of the next government. I think very few of the current SPD ministers will be. Possibly none of them. The stink of the past, failed coalition "Ampel" government will keep them out.
As I said before, it's too early to despair, there is potential for surprises, and we should keep an eye on it.
Examples? Would have thought that this would apply more to the FDP. The SPD has zero incentive to roll over, given the ideological difference and the need to keep its identity intact for the next election.
And yet they do it every time