this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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Maybe I was a little radical in the OP. The fact is most people don't need to agree 100% with what I said for Hollywood to be in trouble. If 50% of movie fans decide that 20% of the movies they'll watch will be free old movies, the demand for paid movies will already fall 10%. If these numbers keep increasing little by little over the years, it's easy to imagine a scenario where half of the movies consumed are public domain. I don't know how much of the total number of books read every year are public domain books, but I would guess it would be at least 25%. I will try to find some research about this.
Other thing is people don't look for historical accuracy and political lessons on movies. The vast majority of them just want entertainment. For each movie made about the holocaust, you will find a dozen generic thriller movies that are very similar to what people have been producing for the last 90 years. So you can find escapism in 1930's Hitchcock classics easily. And you can watch your new stuff later, but your screen time with paid movies would already have been reduced, and Hollywood won't like it.