this post was submitted on 21 Jan 2025
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Just a tip, don't dump it all in at once. Spread it out over 12 months or so. This will prevent losing too much money when the market crashes. It is called dollar-cost averaging.
There’s quite a bit of research on lump sum investing vs dollar cost averaging. Here is one example: https://investor.vanguard.com/investor-resources-education/news/lump-sum-investing-versus-cost-averaging-which-is-better
Generally lump sum investing comes out ahead by a bit. However, my personal opinion is that it isn’t enough to always point to it and say that’s what you should do. If you’re more comfortable doing one over the other, then do it.
Generally time in the market beats timing the market, which is what you’d be doing by dollar cost averaging because you think the market is going to crash.
The 'dollar cost averaging' narrative started as a response to people who wanted to hoard a portion of their monthly paycheck waiting for a good time/correction to buy into the market. It's essentially a corollary of 'time in market beats timing market,' and both could be stated as 'invest it all, right now.' Especially if your horizon is 10+ years out: a few percentage points today is nothing to the doubling you can expect in a decade.
Thank you! That's a good idea and I will keep that in mind.
That’s kind of dollar cost averaging.
It’s also kind of attempting to time the market.
If you invest $100k in one lump sum in this year and it drops 50% but you then hold it for 30 years before selling I’m quite sure you’ll come out ahead. Of course the difference in what you’d make splitting that $100k investment over 12 months is minimal over that time frame but by investing it all you at least get dividends and lock in a price. The market goes up as well, wouldn’t you hate if your dollar cost average increased?
TL;DR You are far better off just investing a lump sum all at once and then regularly investing what you can.
You want to maximise the time that your money is in the market.
If you can’t stomach a 50% loss then you need to work out why that’s the case.