this post was submitted on 04 Dec 2024
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I’m out of the loop, so what’s the big deal with this? What kind of promise does that break?
If he wants to keep American companies in American hands, isn’t this exactly the kind of thing he should be doing? Still probably not the smartest thing to do but, isn’t this kind of period of isolationism exactly what he has promised.
On the other hand, I recall hearing something about him protecting American jobs, but these two goals are in conflict here. Either you fund your industry yourself or accept foreign investments. If the former isn’t possible, then the latter remains the obvious choice.
Maybe the deal from Nippon steel was good and included protections for their positions or something? Maybe the other offers were bad and would have resulted in job cuts etc.? That's all I can imagine.
The union has been against this deal and even thanked Trump for his support yesterday: https://m.usw.org/news/media-center/releases/2024/usw-welcomes-trumps-opposition-to-u-s-steel-nippon-deal
But in the picture it was described as a gut punch! What’s going on here?
This particular deal is a good thing for the country. Metals production is incredibly capital intensive and margins on products are low (this is base production, not the high value-add specialty alloys). That means the business needs to spend billions to make millions in net profit.
This is exactly the kind of business that the American investor class lost patience with in the era of globalization, and even further with the rise of big tech - where it becomes possible to bootstrap billion-dollar businesses with millions in starting capital. Capital flight from manufacturing, and businesses with similar capex/opex/margin profiles has gutted the US manufacturing base and only a dwindling number of legacy players even operate - new entrants can't get investment and either set up overseas or just never advance past the planning stage.
The end result for US Steel has been decades of mismanagement and cost-cutting that have left the US without competitive base metals production - funds that should have been spent on R&D instead went to shareholders. This mismanagement has caught up to the business and it is now producing products of inferior quality and at higher prices than overseas suppliers who haven't spent the last 3 decades avoiding investment in their own business. The 'Buy American' provisions and metals tariffs are basically the only reason it hasn't folded already.
Enter Nippon Steel, a company very used to operating in an environment with expensive energy, labor, and inputs. It wants to buy the US Steel assets (read steel plants and workers) and operate them as an independent subsidiary in order to gain more of foothold in the American market and be eligible for US defense contracts. This capital infusion is desperately needed as the current owners of the business have underinvested since the 80s. Somehow, this story gets twisted into some nativist drivel, and now the US gov is set in blocking the deal to score political points with the uninformed. What this means is we'll be giving US Steel a taxpayer bailout in a few years, or it will go bankrupt, or the ghouls in charge will change their entire outlook and begin to treat it like a business to be managed and not a money sponge to be squeezed...
Thanks for the explanation. That clarifies things.