this post was submitted on 28 Nov 2024
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I have a prediction to make.
I don't believe Trump will pardon most convicted Jan6ers.
He might pardon one or two here and there, but the bulk will stay locked up.
The reason is twofold:
He'll pardon them in time to help him get that third term
Most of them will be out before the end of his second term because our justice system is a mockery of itself and the punishment for attacking the seat of government with intent to harm or kill the congresspeople inside is essentially a slap on the wrist. A few years in prison was the typical sentence. Some got only a few months and are already out, others are in there for up to 15 years.
Genuinely he won't have to pardon more than a handful of them anyway if he just waits until he's leaving office for (hopefully) the last time and then he can say he made good on that promise. But make no mistake, he does not care if those dedicated and loyal followers who flew to D.C. on his command and committed treason in his name rot in prison for the rest of their lives. We could only be so lucky.
He was nearly killed by exactly one of those kinds of people. No way will he pardon them.