this post was submitted on 18 Jul 2023
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UK Politics

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๐Ÿšจ๐ŸšจNew Voting Intention๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšจ Labour lead is twenty-four percentage points in the latest results from Deltapoll.

Con 24% (-4)

Lab 48% (+2)

Lib Dem 11% (+2)

Other 17% (-1)

Fieldwork: 14th - 17th July 2023 | Sample: 1,000 GB adults | (Changes from 7th-10th July 2023)

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 24.0% 119
LAB ๐ŸŒน 48.0% 425
LD ๐Ÿ”ถ 11.0% 47
REFUK โžก๏ธ 6.0% 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 5.0% 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 3% 32
PC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 1% 4

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 44.7% 376 24.0% 0 309 -309 67
LAB ๐ŸŒน 33.0% 197 48.0% 320 0 +320 517
LIB ๐Ÿ”ถ 11.8% 8 11% 13 0 +13 21
Reform โžก๏ธ 2.1% 0 6% 0 0 +0 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 2.8% 1 5% 0 0 +0 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 4.0% 48 3.3% 4 29 -25 23
PlaidC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 2 0.5% 1 1 +0 2
Other โฌœ๏ธ 1.1% 0 2.2% 1 0 +1 1
N.Ire โฌœ๏ธ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

Scotland EC Break-Down

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
12% 34% 9% 2% 9% 34%

PrincipleFish

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[โ€“] Emperor@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago

That would be a brutal election result. I'd hope it'd inspire Starmer to be more radical but it is more likely to entrench him on the right of the party and suppress any kind of dissent.