this post was submitted on 16 Sep 2024
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This is the point where we start hitting the daily limits, in 2 more cycles, maybe limits of lemmy instance, and in another 2, limits of lemmy
This post is well on its way to hitting 243 upvotes, but I suspect that 729 will be difficult to reach.
i never questioned it hitting, I was making some educated guesses about when can we expect that, previous post (81) got about 240 votes in 20ish hours, so i was expecting 243 to also take about same time. But there are some more things, people lose interest, all things have somewhat bell shaped curve, more like weighted bell shape, something like (polynomial)*(exponential with negative power), so most things eventually decay.
And the stats that I see in the sidebar
from this I was making guesses, like 243 onwards, targets would not be met in a day, and for next tripling we get more into 3-4 day territory (assuming 691 users has about 200 new users), and by next cycle, we are limited (practically) by subscribers in this lemmy instance (1.16k is about half 2.2k) if we have 2 more cycles, we are practically limited by number of mathematically inclined people on lemmy, then we see it practically die
A sad ending
well I should eat my words, it completed in less than 9 hours