this post was submitted on 26 Jul 2023
86 points (97.8% liked)
13630 readers
1 users here now
founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
Alternatives that dont even take off, sadly.
There was a spike, but the curve has flattened and now might be bleeding.
That's how growth works on social media, it comes in waves. We are basically in the first wave, because there were only a few thousand people here before June. Its going to take a while before we build up enough organic momentum to cause a second wave, unless reddit makes another oopsie; they could trigger another wave at any moment.
The curve is fine, what you're seeing is the bleeding of alternate accounts. Many of us made 2 or more accounts on different instances early on, and many of those initial alts are now becoming inactive as people settle on their preferred servers. The rate of active user growth is slower than the rate of attrition right now, but that's only because the rate of attrition is so high. That should stabilize in the coming weeks.
Look at threads, their activity declined like 70% after a week or two. Lemmy is actually retaining users at a much higher percentage than the average social media site, it's just that we haven't gotten enough people to give it a try yet.
There's been multiple waves to Lemmy.
Early 2020: Lemmy's creators make a post on /r/communism, announcing Lemmy and offering to set up an instance for the subreddit to migrate onto. This instance becomes Lemmygrad (which is still run by Lemmy's founders/the people who also run Lemmy.ml).
Mid 2020: Federation comes online for Lemmy. Lemmy's founders make a post to /r/Linux, advertising Lemmy and getting people to join. This is the wave I was in, originally, but the folks from wave 1 scared me off.
Then there were a few other waves. I wasn't around for any of them, but I know in late 2021/early 2022 Beehaw was created. I believe Beehaw split off from Tildes, which is another Reddit clone run by a former Reddit admin (who also made AutoModerator).
Then, in May 2023, we saw the first wave of people coming over from Reddit. As the other person mentioned, there were really multiple smaller waves... usually corresponding with an announcement the Reddit admins made. The blackout gave the biggest wave.
Since the start of July, it's largely petered back. A lot of the folks who are diehard anti-Reddit are here, but until Reddit fucks up again it'll probably quiet down.
Reddit will fuck up again, mind. Digg didn't die instantly, either - it was a slow, drawn-out death.
I've been trying to get this kind of Lemmy history since I got here. This is a great summary, I didn't know about pretty much any of those details.