this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2023
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[–] JohnEdwa@kbin.social 21 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (19 children)

If it somehow guaranteed your success it would be safer to play a round of russian roulette at the base camp before you begin your climb as that has only one in six chance of killing you. That's how crazy your odds of success on the climb sound like.
Yet they all know the statistics and the risks, and go do it anyway. Are they mental, suicidal, or do they truly believe they are so awesome and everyone who died clearly was their inferior?

[–] grahamsz@kbin.social 13 points 1 year ago (18 children)

Also I can understand taking that risk for yourself. Certainly it's way outside my comfort zone, but I'm not going to tell someone else they can't do something dangerous. But how can you go out and hire people to help you knowing there's a 25% chance they'll be giving their lives for you?

[–] livus@kbin.social 0 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

knowing there's a 25% chance they'll be giving their lives for you?

There isn't. The person above is using a misleading stat, based on a misunderstanding of the stats.

Look at how many people are in the photos of the climbers all stepping over Mohammed Hassan here.

In common sense terms if this bizarre "25% die" stat were real, at least a dozen of them would have died that same day.

@grahamsz
@bernieecclestoned @dulce_3t_decorum_3st @JohnEdwa

[–] grahamsz@kbin.social 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yes, that's obviously taking the lifetime K2 deaths and dividing by the summit attempts - though actually I get 19% in that situation. However we really dont have enough data to form a good confidence interval there - it's possible we've had a lucky few years or maybe we've got better at deciding when to make the summit attempts.

But it doesn't really change my point. There's some threshold where it seems fundamentally immoral to hire someone for a job that has a good chance of killing them. Mountain porter on k2 or everest is a higher risk job than "astronaut" without the same glory that comes with the space faring job title. Even if the chance of death is 1 in 200, I still think its immoral to take advantage of someone who's so desperate for work that they'll overlook it.

[–] livus@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Definitely. I may not agree with your stats but I agree that it's immoral to take advantage of people's poverty - in this case he was motivated by his mother's medical bills - to make them risk their lives, especially given it's in order to help do a recreational activity that has no use.

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